What is Marketing Mix Modeling? A comprehensive guide

What is marketing mix modeling, how do marketers use it? We take a deep dive into the world of MMM and how it can help to drive growth.

What is Marketing Mix Modeling? A comprehensive guide
By Alex Neighbour | 07 Nov 2024

For the modern marketer, especially those at the helm of large or enterprise level companies, Marketing Mix Modeling has become an integral component of your marketing strategy. So you might be wondering, what is marketing mix modeling? And how can I use it to drive growth in my business?

With overwhelming amounts of data and an ever-growing number of channels, parsing out ROI and effectiveness can become a fraught affair. 

Furthermore, communicating marketing effectiveness to the C-suite while pointing out the effectiveness of your marketing spend can often be a source of contention. This is where Marketing Mix Modeling comes into play.

To shed some light on what Marketing Mix Modeling is, its significance in contemporary marketing strategies, and how businesses can leverage it to enhance their ROI and decision-making processes, we created this comprehensive guide.

Ok, let’s get into it…

A brief definition of Marketing Mix Modeling

Marketing Mix Modeling, often abbreviated as ‘MMM’, is a statistical analysis technique used by businesses to quantify the impact of various marketing inputs on sales.

Furthermore, MMM can then forecast the potential impact of future marketing strategies. 

It provides insights into how the various elements of your marketing mix affect overall sales and profitability.

What’s the importance of MMM in modern marketing?

Companies are constantly striving to optimize their marketing strategies. 

MMM plays a key role here as it provides a data-driven approach to ascertaining which of your marketing activities are driving results and which are falling short. 

By identifying the most effective strategies, you can then allocate your marketing budget more effectively, achieve a better return on investment (ROI), and gain a tool in your belt to frame your marketing spend in terms of subsequent revenue.

You can summarise the real guts of why MMM is important in three main points.

ROI maximization

By identifying which marketing activities contribute most to sales, you and your company can then allocate resources in a smarter and more effective way.

Improved decision-making

You’ll rarely find a company that doesn’t value making better decisions. When you deploy MMM you enable data-driven insights, which in turn help you make informed decisions on your marketing strategies and budget allocation.

Better internal communication

A key issue for many marketers is the ability to hold internal conversations around marketing spend, budgets, effectiveness, and ROI with those in sales and the c-suite. MMM provides a data led common language which can help you frame these conversations.

What are the applications of Marketing Mix Modeling?

In real terms, how would you apply MMM in your company and what would you use it for?

  • Budget allocation; Optimizing marketing spend across different channels based on their proven effectiveness.
  • Campaign planning: Forecasting outcomes and conducting scenario analysis to refine marketing strategies.
  • Performance measurement: Tracking key performance indicators (KPIs) to evaluate the success of marketing efforts.

Understanding the Marketing Mix

So what’s meant by ‘Marketing Mix’ anyway? What does it entail?

You can break down the Marketing Mix by segmenting it into what’s known as ‘the four Ps’ The four Ps are Product, Price, Promotion, and Place.

Let’s get into more detail when it comes to the four Ps shall we?

Product

The product element refers to your focus on the features and benefits of the specific product or service you’re promoting.

Price

Pretty self-explanatory here, the price element is around developing the best pricing strategy that aligns with your consumer’s expectations, as well as the prevailing market conditions.

Promotion

Strategies to communicate the value proposition of the product through advertising, sales promotion, and other marketing tactics.

Place

Place is all about making sure that you’ve conveniently made sure your product or service is available to your target consumers at the right place and time.

Data on all four Ps is incorporated into your market mix model in order to give the model important context about how your business works.

How has the concept of Marketing Mix evolved over time?

Over time, as with many concepts, the way we think about Marketing Mix has changed from a pretty simple framework to a sophisticated analytical concept that incorporates advanced statistical methods and data analytics. Previously, we’d see MMM delivered in a consultancy model. Nowadays? Companies like Mutinex provide advanced MMM as SaaS tools that can be used by marketing teams.

How does Marketing Mix Modeling actually work?

Enough theory, how does MMM actually work in practice?

Data Collection and analysis

MMM relies on various types of data, including sales data, marketing expenditures, external factors (such as economic conditions).

Data Sources

The sources of this data could be internal sales records, market research data, competitor data, etc.

Modeling techniques

When it comes to how you construct the model, you can use statistical methods like ‘regression analysis’ which will help you model the relationships between marketing inputs and outcomes.  At Mutinex we use ‘Bayesian modeling’ for advanced MMM delivered as SaaS.

What are the key components of Marketing Mix Models?

Your key MMM components are essentially a range of variables and drivers that are considered, measured, and weighed. Like what?

Your main drivers

  • Incremental drivers: Factors directly influenced by marketing efforts, such as advertising and promotional activities.
  • Base drivers: Factors that impact sales independently of current marketing activities, such as brand reputation.
  • Other drivers: External factors like seasonality and macroeconomic conditions that affect consumer behavior.

Your main variables

  • Incremental variables: incremental variables speak to the impact of your advertising channels such as TV, digital, print, and promotional activities, on your sales.
  • Base variables: Your base variables include factors like brand equity and broader economic trends that influence your sales.
  • Other variables: There are also a range of other important variables to consider like seasonal fluctuations, and certain economic factors in the your modeling process.

How would you go about implementing Marketing Mix Modeling?

Before you implement an MMM solution and start pulling out useful information, you’ll need to do some preparatory work.

Steps to developing a Marketing Mix Model

  1. Data preparation: You’ll need to be well prepared. This prep involves gathering and cleaning relevant data sources.
  2. Buying a model: Because of the specialized skills involved in building market mix models, most companies choose to partner with external companies like Mutinex to establish a market mix model. This also has the advantage of reducing bias in you model.
  3. Validation and calibration: How do you know it’s functioning properly and accurately? You’ll need to test the model against historical data to ensure accuracy. All market mix model providers should regularly conduct hold out tests and share the results with their customers to build confidence in results.

Common challenges with implementing MMM

  • Handling missing data: Techniques like imputation or excluding incomplete data points.
  • Dealing with Outliers: Identifying and addressing data points that skew results can be challenging. At Mutinex we actively work to reduce these conflicts using a generalized model.

Case studies and examples of MMM in action

Successful Implementation of MMM can seriously improve a company’s marketing efforts and measurement. Here’s a few Mutinex customers who’ve found success with our GrowthOS MMM software.

  • Samsung Case Study: How did Samsung improve their marketing investment performance with near real-time data?
  • Asahi Case Study: How did Asahi Beverages refinine their media investment strategies with marketing mix modeling?
  • Youi Case Study: How did Youi demonstrate brand revenue contribution and ROI to the board on a single page?

Future trends in Marketing Mix Modeling

How do we predict MMM might evolve and change over time? Here’s a few trend predictions we think could be on the cards.

  • Models will be generalized instead of bespoke: Bespoke models introduce bias and reduce the utility of a model. The MMM of the future is a generalized model calibrated towards understanding marketing and applying those insights to your business.
  • Integration with AI: This is already underway. We’re going to see the utilization of AI and machine learning to enhance the predictive capabilities of MMM models and make them more user friendly.
  • Emerging variables and new channels: We’ll certainly see the need to incorporate new variables from emerging media channels as they become available.

Final thoughts on the importance of MMM

As marketing continues to evolve, MMM stands out as a critical tool for businesses looking to stay competitive and maximize their marketing investments. It also comes down to ‘future proofing’ your marketing measurement.

At the end of the day, Marketing Mix Modeling can empower you and your company to better navigate the increasing complexities of the modern marketing landscape by providing actionable insights that are derived from comprehensive data analysis. 

By leveraging MMM effectively, your company can achieve greater efficiency and effectiveness in your marketing efforts, ultimately driving sustainable business growth and sales revenue.