Mutinex News

18% shift in marketing budgets signals good adaptability, but throws up orange flag

Incremental ROI improvements by channel may look good on paper, but marketers could be harming bottom line revenue.

18% shift in marketing budgets signals good adaptability, but throws up orange flag
by Josh Bryer Feb 20, 2025

Our latest MROI Index Report reveals that budget uncertainty is the new normal. Marketers are adapting by shifting large chunks of budget towards digital delivery, but Mutinex warns that marketers must keep one eye to effectiveness to avoid revenue erosion.

Using our aggregate marketing index, the report analyses marketing investment data from Australian enterprise brands, up to and including October 2024, and highlights the emergence of new investment strategies that have seen an average of 18% of total budgets reallocated in the last two years, and as much as 45%. The trend has seen investment in programmatic and digital channels surge at the expense of less agile traditional channels, with linear TV’s average share of spend dropping from 32% to 25% YoY.

In addition to recommending that marketers recalibrate their media strategies and align with a landscape defined by complexity and uneven growth, we urge marketers who are seeking greater ROI efficiencies to beware of dwindling effectiveness, leading to a drop in revenue.

“Looking for efficiencies on a channel-by-channel basis is a noble pursuit, especially when budgets are tight,” says Mutinex Chief Revenue Officer, Danny Bass, “but what looks like a cost-saving on paper, doesn’t always translate into a better bottom line.”

Our report suggests that the reason why investments are shifting to digital and programmatic is it allows marketers to drive reach with more specific audiences at a lower cost, and say “we’re doing more with less”. But a closer look at key results, including revenue drivers, reveals some orange flags to this approach. On linear TV, for example: average share of spend dropped 7% YoY, but average share of revenue fell by 5%. And considering TV’s sizable contribution to overall revenue, landing the efficiency has arguably cost the bottom line quite a lot.

“Marketers ignore the long-term positive revenue effects of a memorable above the line campaign at their own peril”, warns Mutinex Director of Marketing Science, Will Marks. ”When changing investment plans, wasted spend should be the first area of focus. However the end goal is growth and marketers need to ensure a plan hits revenue targets above and beyond efficiency goals. It’s true that it’s complicated to understand the full impact of changes unless you’re using really robust cross channel planning tools and reviewing results regularly.”

Our full MROI Index Report Q1 2025 is available here